Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 357.450317 408.245455 465.607413 535.564316 619.091186 716.263455 838.800259
2024-12-29 282.428598 347.212212 427.543667 535.970806 680.826409 871.098088 1145.798553
2025-01-05 237.338429 305.384674 394.874237 523.891975 709.793449 975.611354 1399.311196
2025-01-12 208.981509 278.751156 374.921873 521.248075 745.891012 1091.528659 1693.485165
2025-01-19 180.858490 247.799116 343.390877 494.967396 739.503021 1138.503391 1886.161704
2025-01-26 171.260813 241.510261 345.743268 518.711232 813.733419 1328.698226 2380.975042
2025-02-02 164.994618 239.043745 352.964361 550.456117 906.211065 1570.738592 3056.498242
2025-02-09 153.346486 226.846128 343.148060 551.843261 944.630560 1720.329746 3592.011479
2025-02-16 140.386082 211.181705 325.782967 537.313161 950.196255 1804.882703 4008.271127
2025-02-23 129.759450 198.253335 311.506487 526.182595 960.020908 1900.063541 4488.386267
2025-03-02 124.492913 193.639852 310.815398 539.946649 1022.477532 2127.330442 5428.369476
2025-03-09 118.038746 186.401489 304.694605 542.286970 1060.947844 2308.201505 6323.777091
2025-03-16 110.013593 176.011986 292.301120 531.403010 1070.240032 2424.493615 7096.359281
2025-03-23 104.332558 169.302205 286.058813 532.380694 1107.493238 2626.920798 8306.837257
2025-03-30 97.609873 160.175945 274.388155 520.362017 1111.377108 2738.370871 9248.044839
2025-04-06 92.651114 153.865328 267.500751 517.743111 1138.141990 2925.687668 10652.930542
2025-04-13 85.507839 143.028449 250.896449 491.680555 1100.227244 2904.097726 11095.809778
2025-04-20 84.305853 143.180866 255.993370 515.227272 1198.246353 3353.205942 14294.031042
2025-04-27 83.866946 144.723057 264.006265 546.705162 1325.821966 3959.654379 19171.613309
2025-05-04 80.576015 140.498117 259.710966 548.080551 1367.190135 4270.350526 22652.519586
2025-05-11 76.137462 133.730347 249.514310 533.673212 1358.422748 4383.530608 24897.816838
2025-05-18 72.317867 127.962858 241.025414 522.636143 1358.332220 4535.043099 27715.721515
2025-05-25 70.782427 126.672805 242.106205 536.284510 1440.149829 5076.995721 35023.020780